Financial analysts predict that the U.S. could fall into a recession in 2023, and if it does, pro-union baristas nationwide could lose some of their footings. Catherine Creighton, director of Cornell University's Industrial and Labor Relations Buffalo branch, notes that if unionizing workers are fired by retaliating employers, it's more difficult for them to find other work in a recession, via CNBC. Starbucks indeed has a track record of terminating vocal pro-union employees — and has been sued for it more than once. But, California Starbucks barista trainer Tyler Keeling says it's worth the risk. "People are seeing that Starbucks is willing to kind of mess with their livelihood to prevent this union, and that scares people," admits Keeling. "But at the end of the day, as far as it is driving people not to organize, it's also driving people to organize,"
Still, in December 2021, when the first Starbucks store ever won its union election in Buffalo, NY (per New York Post), the country's economic landscape looked considerably different. This month, inflation hit a record-high 10% in the Eurozone, says The New York Times. Inflation in the U.S. hit its 40-year high back in July 2022, a whopping 9.1% per PBS. Now, even though U.S. consumers are watching domestic inflation inch back down with cautious optimism, a potential recession could still be bad news for union baristas.
Why The Worsening Economy Could Impact Starbucks' Union Efforts - Tasting Table
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